You do not have a default location set
To set your location please use the search box to find your location and then click "set as my default location" on the local weather page.

28 Day Rainfall Forecast

  1. Southern Tablelands Rain Forecast


    Southern Tablelands 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    Sun Mon Tue Wed Thu Fri Sat
    14
    Hig
    15
    Hig
    16
    Med
    17
    Med
    18
    Med
    19
    Hig
    20
    Hig
    21
    Med
    22
    Low
    23
    24
    Low
    25
    Med
    26
    Low
    27
    Med
    28
    Med
    29
    30
    31
    Hig
    Sep 1
    Hig
    2
    Low
    3
    4
    Low
    5
    Med
    6
    7
    Low
    8
    Med
    9
    Low
    10
    Low
    11
    Low
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    Nil
    < 25%
    Low
    25 - 50%
    Medium
    50 - 75%
    High
    ≥ 75%

    Issue Notes

    Issued 14 Aug 2020

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are five main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the southwest Indian Ocean, eastern Australia, the southeast Pacific, and South America.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 22 August to 26 August, 29 August to 2 September, and 5 September to 9 September. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 26 August to 30 August, and 16 September to 20 September. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 19 August to 23 August, 29 August to 2 September, and 3 September to 7 September.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.