A positive Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) may be developing – What this means for Australia
One of Australia’s main climate drivers – the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) – may have just entered a phase that typically brings warm and dry weather to Australia.
ELDERS NEWS
One of Australia’s main climate drivers – the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) – may have just entered a phase that typically brings warm and dry weather to Australia.
Residents of the Northern Territory’s Top End and adjacent parts of Western Australia have endured their coldest nights of the year, with minimum temperatures plunging several degrees below the July average.
The cold front that crossed Tasmania and the southeast mainland overnight has left up to 15 centimetres of fresh snow at higher elevations, with strong winds and low temperatures creating bitter conditions in the alpine region.
Perth is facing the very strong likelihood of having its driest July since 2012, with no significant rainfall expected before the end of the month.
Clouds are made up of water droplets and ice crystals.
A classic midwinter cold front will surge across southeastern Australia on Tuesday and Wednesday, bringing rain, strong winds, and snow to higher elevations of Tasmania and the mainland alpine region.
Residents across northeast NSW and southeast Queensland could certainly be forgiven for reaching for an extra blanket over Friday and Saturday night — and for electing to stay a little longer in bed the following mornings.
Ocean Temperatures and the Developing El Niño Event
As ocean temperatures continue to warm through early 2026 across the eastern tropical Pacific Ocean, climate forecasters are calling this the start of what may be one of the strongest El Niño events in recent decades.
The lean 2026 snow season looks set to continue for the rest of July, with forecast models playing down prospects of any heavy snow over at least the coming week.
Every Australian state and territory except the Northern Territory experienced sub-zero minimums overnight, with a lowest recorded nationwide reading of -7°C at Thredbo Top Station.