" W & S Gippsland long range forecast - 28 day rain days
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There are no warnings current for the W & S Gippsland district.

W & S Gippsland 28-day rainfall forecast

Sun Mon Tue Wed Thu Fri Sat
24
 
 
25
 
 
26
Low
 
27
High
 
28
High
 
29
High
 
30
High
 
31
High
 
1
Low
Jun
2
High
 
3
Med
 
4
High
 
5
High
 
6
Low
 
7
Low
 
8
Low
 
9
Low
 
10
Low
 
11
Med
 
12
Med
 
13
 
 
14
Low
 
15
Low
 
16
Med
 
17
Med
 
18
High
 
19
Low
 
20
Low
 

Chance of rainfall somewhere within district 
Nil
<25%
Low
25-50%
Medium
50-75%
High
≥75%

W & S Gippsland district forecast
W & S Gippsland 12-month rainfall forecast
Issue Notes

The hemispheric long wave pattern has been relatively fast moving in recent weeks. There are five main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the southwest Indian Ocean, eastern Australia, the south Pacific, and South America. Summary: Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 31 May to 4 June, 12 June to 16 June, and 25 June to 29 June. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 14 June to 18 June, and 25 June to 29 June. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 31 May to 4 June, 15 June to 19 June, and 25 June to 29 June.

Issued 23 May 2015

Forecast    Current Conditions    Synoptic Chart    Satellite    Radar   

Forecast Explanation

This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.