" Mid North Coast long range forecast - 28 day rain days
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There are no warnings current for the Mid North Coast district.

Mid North Coast 28-day rainfall forecast

Sun Mon Tue Wed Thu Fri Sat
        2
High
 
3
High
 
4
High
 
5
High
 
6
Med
 
7
Low
 
8
 
 
9
Med
 
10
 
 
11
 
 
12
Med
 
13
Med
 
14
Med
 
15
Low
 
16
Low
 
17
 
 
18
Med
 
19
Med
 
20
Low
 
21
 
 
22
 
 
23
 
 
24
 
 
25
Low
 
26
 
 
27
Low
 
28
 
 
29
Low
 
     

Chance of rainfall somewhere within district 
Nil
<25%
Low
25-50%
Medium
50-75%
High
≥75%

Mid North Coast district forecast
Mid North Coast 12-month rainfall forecast
Issue Notes

The hemispheric long wave pattern has been relatively fast moving in recent weeks. There are four main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of the southwest Indian Ocean, the Indian Ocean, the south Pacific, and the Atlantic Ocean. Summary: Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 7 June to 11 June, 15 June to 19 June, and 4 July to 8 July. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 12 June to 16 June, and 22 June to 26 June. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 8 June to 12 June, 13 June to 17 June, and 26 June to 30 June.

Issued 31 May 2016

Forecast    Current Conditions    Synoptic Chart    Satellite    Radar   

Forecast Explanation

This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.